ENVIRONMENT

Geneva agency warns of intensifying El Niño risk

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Geneva agency warns of intensifying El Niño risk

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The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), based in Geneva, has warned that there is an 80% probability El Niño conditions will develop before September, potentially acting as a “supercharger” for global weather extremes. Climate models indicate at least a moderate event, with some projections suggesting one of the strongest El Niño episodes of the century. UN Secretary-General António Guterres called the alert an urgent call to action, noting it will exacerbate existing global warming. The WMO expects impacts including extreme heat, drought, and heavy rainfall across borders, and urges governments to prepare infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety systems in the coming months.

Prepared by Olivia Bennett and reviewed by editorial team.

Timeline of Events

2023 El Niño contributes to record global heat
2024 Previous El Niño leaves lingering climate impacts
Early 2024 Climate models begin signaling El Niño
Recent months Forecast spread shows substantial uncertainty
This week WMO issues heightened El Niño warning
This week Guterres urges urgent global preparedness
Next three months Extreme weather risks expected globally
Before September El Niño formation probability estimated 80 percent

Why This Matters to You

El Niño can stir up extreme weather, from heatwaves to heavy rain. This could affect your safety, home, and community. Check your emergency supplies and review your family's disaster plan. Stay informed about local weather forecasts.

The Bottom Line

The WMO's warning is a heads up, not a guarantee. But with an 80% chance of El Niño, it's smart to prepare. Governments should be doing the same. Worth forwarding if you know someone in a weather-sensitive area.