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With millions of federal workers missing paychecks, the government shutdown is rippling through travel, delaying approvals, closing some museums and curbing household spending. Analysts warn of a critical inflection point as key economic data are delayed, confidence slips, and companies pause decisions. Estimates suggest growth could fall by about $15bn a week, unemployment could reach 4.8% if it lasts until 18 October, and a month-long stoppage could erase $30bn in consumer spending. The Trump administration has threatened denying back pay and permanent firings, while moving to ensure military pay and certain food programs continue.

Prepared by Christopher Adams and reviewed by editorial team.