Washington — The U.S. Supreme Court issued a ruling this week changing the legal standard on race in districting and prompting state legislatures to consider new congressional maps ahead of November's midterm elections. Analysts including Reuters and independent forecasters reported a historic low in competitive U.S. House seats, noting only 32 of 435 districts currently rated toss-up or lean. Nashville and Montgomery saw scheduled or convened special legislative sessions this week as lawmakers in Tennessee, Alabama and Louisiana respond to the ruling; Louisiana was ordered to redraw a map after the high court found race was overly determinative in creating a second Black-majority district. Local analyses show narrow paths to control in state chambers such as Texas, where nine seats are competitive and Republicans hold 88 of 150 seats.
Prepared by Lauren Mitchell and reviewed by editorial team.
State Republican lawmakers and other partisan actors seeking durable electoral advantages stand to benefit by redrawing districts to reduce competitiveness and entrench majorities.
Voters—particularly those in majority-Black districts—and Democrats may lose representation and electoral influence if districts are redrawn.
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Supreme Court Ruling Spurs Nationwide Redistricting Push
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