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IMF Sees 2026 Growth Steady Amid Tariff Shock

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IMF Sees 2026 Growth Steady Amid Tariff Shock
Media Bias Meter
Sources: 7
Center 83%
Right 17%
Sources: 7

Washington: The International Monetary Fund said global growth will hold at 3.3 percent in 2026 after revising forecasts up 0.2 percentage points from October, citing easing trade tensions and strong technology investment, particularly in artificial intelligence. The WEO update credits gains mainly to the United States and China and projects 3.2 percent growth in 2027. The IMF raised India's 2025 forecast to 7.3 percent and increased China's 2025 estimate to 5 percent, while warning that concentrated sectoral gains and possible reassessments of AI productivity or renewed trade frictions could pose downside risks. Based on 6 articles reviewed and research.

Prepared by Christopher Adams and reviewed by editorial team.

Timeline of Events

  • 2025: Tariff shocks and trade disruptions increase global economic uncertainty.
  • November 2025: Yearlong trade truce agreed, reducing effective tariffs on some Chinese goods.
  • October 2025: IMF published baseline forecasts later revised in January 2026.
  • 19 January 2026: IMF releases WEO update raising 2026 global growth forecast by 0.2 points to 3.3%.
  • 19 January 2026: IMF also revises India's and China's 2025 growth figures, while warning of concentrated risks.
Media Bias
Articles Published:
6
Right Leaning:
1
Left Leaning:
0
Neutral:
5

Who Benefited

Technology and AI-focused companies, investors, and countries with strong IT sectors benefited from a surge in investment that contributed to upward revisions in short-term growth forecasts.

Who Impacted

Export-oriented businesses and workers in sectors hit by tariffs and trade disruptions experienced heightened uncertainty, supply-chain strain, and potential revenue losses.

Media Bias
Articles Published:
6
Right Leaning:
1
Left Leaning:
0
Neutral:
5
Distribution:
Left 0%, Center 83%, Right 17%
Who Benefited

Technology and AI-focused companies, investors, and countries with strong IT sectors benefited from a surge in investment that contributed to upward revisions in short-term growth forecasts.

Who Impacted

Export-oriented businesses and workers in sectors hit by tariffs and trade disruptions experienced heightened uncertainty, supply-chain strain, and potential revenue losses.

Coverage of Story:

From Left

No left-leaning sources found for this story.

From Right

IMF revises its estimate for China's GDP growth in 2025 upward to 5% -- report

TASS

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