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New Jersey governor candidates grapple over whether it's a bellwether

New Jersey's 2025 gubernatorial election, one of only two nationwide, is a highly competitive race between Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democrat Mikie Sherrill. The election is seen as a potential bellwether for national sentiment, particularly regarding President Trump and the 2026 midterms. Both candidates highlight state-specific issues while acknowledging the national implications. The race features significant ad spending, exceeding $140 million, targeting the substantial number of unaffiliated voters in New Jersey. The outcome could reflect broader voter dissatisfaction with incumbents and the current political climate.

Prepared by Lauren Mitchell and reviewed by editorial team.

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