Asteroid's Moon Impact Chance Slightly Increased | JQJO

NASA has slightly revised the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the Moon on December 22, 2032. Initially estimated at 1.7%, the new likelihood is 3.8%, based on data from telescopes including the James Webb Space Telescope. The chance of an Earth impact remains extremely low at 0.004%. Even a lunar impact would not significantly alter the Moon's orbit, NASA assures.