TRAVEL & TOURISM

Maui Issues Surf and Weather Forecasts July 2026

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Maui, Hawaii. Maui Now issued sequential surf forecasts on July 10 and July 11, 2026, reporting a declining small medium-period south-southwest swell on July 10 and a predicted small to moderate long-period southwest swell filling in late Saturday into early next week, with additional west swells expected from Typhoon Bavi in the far western Pacific. This week the forecasts indicate east-facing shores will remain choppy under fresh to strong northeast trades while north-facing shores stay flat; the July 11 weather update warned of breezy conditions, highs of 80–86°F, northeast winds 10–25 mph, and overnight rain chances rising to as much as 70–90 percent on some north-shore areas.

Prepared by Emily Rhodes and reviewed by editorial team.

Timeline of Events

July 10, 2026: South-southwest swell (190–200°) begins gradual decline.
Late July 10–11, 2026: Southwest long-period swell (220°) from Tasman source expected to fill in.
Late Friday into early next week: West swells (270–280°) from Typhoon Bavi forecast to arrive.
July 11, 2026: Weather forecast shows breezy conditions, highs 80–86°F, northeast winds 10–25 mph, rain chances 40–90%.
Early next week: East-facing shores remain choppy; north-facing shores remain flat to tiny.

Why This Matters to You

If you're vacationing or living in Maui, these forecasts affect your plans. Surfers, take note of the changing swells. Beachgoers, be aware of choppy conditions on east-facing shores. Everyone, prepare for possible rain and breezy conditions.

The Bottom Line

Maui's weather and surf are in flux. Expect declining south-southwest swells, incoming southwest and west swells, and potentially heavy rain. Stay updated on local forecasts. Worth forwarding if you know someone heading to Maui soon.