联合国警告“超级增压”厄尔尼诺回归
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The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), based in Geneva, has warned that there is an 80% probability El Niño conditions will develop before September, potentially acting as a “supercharger” for global weather extremes. Climate models indicate at least a moderate event, with some projections suggesting one of the strongest El Niño episodes of the century. UN Secretary-General António Guterres called the alert an urgent call to action, noting it will exacerbate existing global warming. The WMO expects impacts including extreme heat, drought, and heavy rainfall across borders, and urges governments to prepare infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety systems in the coming months.
Prepared by Olivia Bennett and reviewed by editorial team.
Timeline of Events
- 2023年厄尔尼诺现象导致全球气温创下历史新高
- 2024年之前的厄尔尼诺现象留下持续的气候影响
- 2024年初气候模型开始发出厄尔尼诺现象的信号
- 近几个月预测差异显示存在相当大的不确定性
- 本周世界气象组织发布提高的厄尔尼诺现象警报
- 本周古特雷斯敦促全球紧急做好准备
- 未来三个月全球预计出现极端天气风险
- 9月前厄尔尼诺现象形成概率估计为80%
Why This Matters to You
厄尔尼诺现象会引发极端天气，从热浪到大雨。这可能会影响您的安全、家园和社区。请检查您的应急物资并审阅您家庭的灾难计划。随时了解当地的天气预报。
The Bottom Line
世界气象组织（WMO）的预警是提醒，并非保证。但有80%的几率出现厄尔尼诺现象，未雨绸缪是明智的。政府也应如此。如果您认识生活在受天气影响敏感地区的人，值得转发。
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