ENVIRONMENT

NOAA Predicts Below-Average 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Charlotte, N.C. — On May 21, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued a forecast projecting a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, estimating 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes and 1–3 major hurricanes for the June 1–Nov. 30 period; local meteorologists relayed the outlook while noting continued individual storm risk. Mobile and other coastal communities this week are being urged to maintain preparedness as officials and emergency managers plan outreach events, including a scheduled East Haven preparedness session at Cosey Beach on Tuesday; forecasters cited a developing El Niño as a suppression factor while warning that a single landfalling storm could still cause major impacts during the season.

Prepared by Olivia Bennett and reviewed by editorial team.

Timeline of Events

Signs of a developing El Niño detected in the Pacific, noted by meteorologists.
May 21: NOAA issues its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook predicting below-average activity.
Colorado State University releases a near-normal to below-normal season prediction around late May.
Late May/this week: Local emergency managers schedule preparedness events, including East Haven at Cosey Beach.
June 1: 2026 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins and will run through Nov. 30.

Why This Matters to You

Even with a below-average hurricane season predicted, one storm can still cause significant damage. If you're in a coastal community, stay vigilant. Attend local preparedness events like the one at Cosey Beach. It's about your safety and your community's resilience.

The Bottom Line

NOAA's forecast points to a quieter hurricane season, thanks to a developing El Niño. But remember, it only takes one storm to disrupt lives. Stay prepared, stay informed. Worth forwarding if you know someone living in a coastal area.