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Kyiv: Russia weighs war, ceasefire, NATO hybrid attacks

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Kyiv: Russia weighs war, ceasefire, NATO hybrid attacks

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Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation says Moscow is simultaneously developing multiple scenarios for its war against Ukraine and future relations with NATO. Speaking in Kyiv, center head Andrii Kovalenko outlined three main options: continuing full-scale hostilities at least until 2028 with a possible spring–summer offensive this year, a gradual shift toward a ceasefire and freezing of the conflict, or prolonging the war on Ukraine while preparing hybrid aggression against NATO states by around 2028. He said Russia is considering drone strikes and small sabotage groups in Baltic countries, alongside information campaigns targeting NATO defense industries and legislation enabling foreign troop deployments.

Prepared by Rachel Morgan and reviewed by editorial team.

Timeline of Events

Earlier this year Russia plans new offensive
Spring 2024 Moscow prepares larger mobilization options
Spring 2024 Kremlin narratives blame misinformed Putin
Spring 2024 Ukraine details Russian scenario assessments
By 2028 Russia contemplates prolonged Ukraine conflict
By 2028 Russia eyes NATO hybrid warfare
Currently Russia advances bill for foreign deployments
Recently Ukrainian officials discuss war end prospects

Why This Matters to You

Russia's potential actions could affect global stability and safety. If you have family in Ukraine or the Baltic countries, their safety could be at risk. It's a good time to check in and discuss emergency plans.

The Bottom Line

Russia's multiple scenarios for its war with Ukraine and future NATO relations are concerning. It's a complex situation with no easy solutions. Keep an eye on the news for updates. Worth forwarding if you know someone with ties to these regions.