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Raiders expected to pick Mendoza; historic QB outcomes

PUBLISHED Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

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HENDERSON, Nev. — The Las Vegas Raiders are widely expected to select Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming 2026 NFL Draft, a selection reported this week by multiple outlets. The team has publicly signaled the quarterback position as a top roster priority heading into the draft. The expectation follows analysis noting that of 19 quarterbacks taken first overall this century only Eli Manning won a Super Bowl with his original team, and several top picks did not remain with their drafting clubs into their 30s; last month Arizona released Kyler Murray. Analysts including NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah have pointed to coaching turnover and organizational instability as factors affecting long-term success, while Sports Illustrated detailed the Raiders’ front-office personnel and draft strategy ahead of the selection.

By Lauren Mitchell | JQJO News

Timeline of Events

Since 2000: Nineteen quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft.
Mid-2000s: Eli Manning wins a Super Bowl after a draft-day detour.
March 2026: Arizona released Kyler Murray, noted as part of a trend of No.1s departing original teams before age 30.
Early April 2026: Media reports widely link the Raiders' No.1 pick to Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza.
Ten days before the 2026 Draft: Sports Illustrated publishes a mock draft and profiles Raiders' front-office staff.

News Intelligence

If you're a Raiders fan, this could be a game-changer. Mendoza's potential selection signals a new direction for the team. But history shows top-pick QBs don't always bring long-term success. Keep an eye on the Raiders' coaching stability and draft strategy.

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Who Benefited

The Las Vegas Raiders organization, led by GM John Spytek and advisors including Tom Brady, could benefit by acquiring a top QB prospect (Fernando Mendoza) and reinforcing scouting capacity under Brandon Yeargan to address long-standing offensive needs.

Who Impacted

Recent No. 1 quarterbacks and franchises with unstable rosters or coaching turnover suffered continuity losses; Arizona (with Kyler Murray's release) and other teams that drafted first overall this century faced limited Super Bowl returns and roster disruption.

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