Tight Tennessee Seat Race Heads to December Election
Washington: Voters are closely divided in the special election to fill Tennessee Rep. Mark Green’s seat, across the district, according to an Emerson College/The Hill survey released this week. Former Tennessee Department of General Services commissioner Matt Van Epps leads with about 48 percent while Democrat Aftyn Behn registers roughly 46 percent among likely and already-cast voters, within a 3.9-point margin of error. About five percent remain undecided. Green resigned effective July 20 to return to the private sector. The general election between Van Epps and Behn is scheduled for Dec. 2. Based on 7 articles reviewed and supporting research.
Timeline
- July 4, 2025: Rep. Mark Green officially resigned his congressional seat.
- July 20, 2025: Green's last day in office took effect; he returned to the private sector.
- Election officials set a special general election for December 2, 2025.
- This week (poll release): Emerson College/The Hill poll showed Van Epps ~48%, Behn ~46%, 3.9-point MOE, 5% undecided.
- December 2, 2025: Voters will cast ballots to determine Green's successor.
- Articles Published:
- 7
- Right Leaning:
- 0
- Left Leaning:
- 0
- Neutral:
- 7
- Distribution:
- Left 0%, Center 100%, Right 0%
Candidates with stronger ground operations, local party organizations, and pollsters benefit from heightened attention and mobilization in a close, visible special election.
Undecided voters face uncertainty, while both campaigns risk intensified scrutiny and resource strain if margins remain narrow.
Current polling shows a narrow margin between Matt Van Epps (about 48%) and Aftyn Behn (about 46%) in the special election to replace Rep. Mark Green; the poll's 3.9-point margin of error and roughly 5% undecided voters make the outcome uncertain ahead of the December 2 general election in Tennessee.
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