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What early voting data says about NYC, Virginia and New Jersey elections

Early voting is tilting slightly toward Democrats in two governor races, with New Jersey’s Mikie Sherrill and Virginia’s Abigail Spanberger better positioned than Kamala Harris was at this point last year, according to CNN’s analysis. In New York City’s mayoral contest, older Democrats lead turnout, yet the electorate has been getting younger each day—good news for Zohran Mamdani—while Andrew Cuomo sees stronger participation in his best precincts, though not enough on its own to overtake. Analysts caution early data reflects participation, not preferences, and many ballots will be cast on November 4.

Prepared by Lauren Mitchell and reviewed by editorial team.

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