With early voting underway in New York City’s mayoral race and in the New Jersey and Virginia governors’ contests, turnout patterns are taking shape. New York’s early voters skew older but not as much as usual; under-30s match their 2024 early-vote share, a breakdown that could be better news for Zohran Mamdani. Polls show Mamdani leading under-30s, while recent surveys give Andrew Cuomo a slight edge among older voters. In New Jersey, Democrats lead early tallies, boosted by mail ballots, though Republicans could close the gap. Virginia’s early electorate mirrors 2024 once unaffiliated voters are excluded.

Reviewed by JQJO team

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